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Weighing the Evidence
In these examples Declarer digs a little deeper, looking for clues in what was not done as well as considering the more obvious clues.
Related Play Problems Play Problem 49
Related Extracts from Past Wednesday Games
6♦ is not cold but it should make. Suppose that the defense cashes a Heart and shifts to a trump. When trumps are drawn, Declarer will need 4 tricks from the Spade suit. There are various ways to play this suit, but with North have shown up with 9 red cards, compared with South’s 5 red cards, it seems to us that a first-round finesse is required, against South’s hoped-for ♠Q. That looks like the best way to create the 4 Spade tricks needed to fulfill the contract. As it happens the Spades were 3-3 all the time, and all roads lead to 12 tricks.
Will 5♦ make? With two inescapable losers in the majors, everything hinges on how Declarer tackles the Diamonds. Is there any reason why she should lay down the A♦ first, catering for West having all three? Wouldn’t it also be reasonable to guess the other way and start with the K♦? Any clues in the bidding? Well, West has more HCP’s than East, but there’s still plenty of room for the Q♦ in the East hand. Perhaps a better inference is that, with a Diamond void, West would probably have a Michaels hand, and yet he made a simple overcall. Anyway, it’s 10 or 11 tricks, depending on Declarer’s ability to ferret out that Queen.
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