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An Extra Chance
Good Declarers don't like to commit to a single line of play, they are constantly looking for that second string to their bow, that extra chance to make the contract if the obvious chance does not work out. See also Combining Chances.
Related Play Problems Play Problem 16
Related Extracts from Past Wednesday Games
6♥ is the place to be, perhaps by the above auction, but it's an unlucky contract. Did anyone get to 6♣? In theory, it's an inferior contract to 6♥, but on the actual lie of the cards it's the only slam that is likely to make. North will probably lead the J♠, won by the Ace, and now South will shift to the Q♦, for lack of a better alternative. Declarer will win the Ace, play the K♣, dropping South's Queen. At this point, Declarer could just draw trumps and hope for a 3-2 Heart break, but he can do better than that ... he finesses the Club 9, and plays AK♥ ... if Hearts are 3-2, he reverts to drawing trumps and his hand is now good ... but, if Hearts are 4-1, he has given himself the extra chance that the long trumps are in the hand with the long Hearts ... on the actual layout, this extra chance is the only way that Declarer can make his contract. Nice play if you made 6♣, but maybe not such nice bidding (you really belong in 6♥)!
Dummy was no doubt a disappointment to South, it was the worst hand imaginable, it would have been nice if she had had a major suit Jack or another Heart. Nonetheless, 13 tricks roll in when both majors split 3-2 (or there is a singleton major Jack somewhere), working out to no better than about a 50% grand. Actually, it’s better than that, there is a small point in the play which raises the odds … West leads a minor suit, won by Declarer, now the right sequence of plays is K♥, Q♥, A♠, Q♠, and a Heart to the Ace. This line gives Declarer an extra chance, namely if one defender started with one Spade and two Hearts, improving the chances up to about 55% according to our (rough) calculations.
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