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Hand Analyses         14th February, 2007

 

 

 1

♠ K9642

AQ76

JT

♣ JT




Bidding Quiz (West)

♠ AJT

K2

AK2

♣ A8643

          North

West             East

          South

♠ Q75

JT543

Q9

♣ Q97


Dlr     North   
Vul     None 



 

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♠ 83

98

876543

♣ K52

West    North   East     South

            1♠        Pass    Pass

2NT     Pass    3        Pass

3        Pass    3NT   All Pass

 

We’re all familiar with the No Trump ranges for overcalling in the direct seat, typically we will overcall 1NT with 15-18 and Double and then bid No Trump with more than 18.  In the balancing seat the ranges are adjusted to something like the following:

-         11-15:              Bid 1NT

-         16-18:             Double and rebid No Trump

-         19-20:              Bid 2NT

-         21-22:             Double and jump in No Trump

So, according to these adjusted ranges, West has an obvious 2NT bid, which is followed by a transfer sequence to 3NT.

 

Against 3NT, North leads a Spade, and now the A♣, then a Club to the King, a Spade back, and it’s 9 tricks for Declarer.

 

Double Dummy Department

If you like Double Dummy problems, here’s a good one.  How does West make 10 tricks in No Trump on a Spade lead?  Here is the solution:

            Spade lead to Declarer’s Jack

            Cash A and cross to the Q (extracting exit cards from North)

            Run the Q♣ (keeping South off lead)

            Club ducked to North’s Jack

Now North is end-played in the major suits.

 

 

 2

♠ 64

AT

QJT53

♣ JT42

 

♠ KT98732

Q5

K8

♣ Q7

          North

West             East

          South

♠ J

KJ8764

A942

♣ 85

 

Dlr       East
Vul      N-S 


 
 
 
 
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♠ AQ5

932

76

♣ AK963

West    North   East     South

                        2        Pass

Pass    Pass

 

 

How do you play new suits opposite a Weak Two?  Here are 3 common approaches:

-         New suits are forcing (probably the most common treatment)

-         New suits are non-forcing

-         New suits are forcing if at the 3-level, non-forcing if at the 2-level.

 

Perhaps we should say “non-forcing but constructive” because it’s not recommended that bidding over Partner’s Weak Two is merely a means of escape to another suit, it should show some values, with hopes for game opposite the right hand.

 

On this deal, if we were playing “New Suits Forcing”, then we would pass the West hand.  And if we were playing that 2♠ would be constructive but not forcing?  Then we might try 2♠ (which we think East should pass), though Pass also does not seem so terrible.

 

There is not much to the play of the hand, 2 and 2♠ both make 8 tricks.

 

 

 3

♠ 3

KJ98

AQ98632

♣ 6


Bidding Quiz (North)

Bidding Quiz (East)

Play Problem # 126 (South)

♠ AQJ9872

52

♣ T743

          North

West             East

          South

♠ KT65

QT3

4

♣ AQ852

 

Dlr     South
Vul     E-W 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 4

A764

KJT75

♣ KJ9

South   West    North   East 

1        3♠        4♠        5♣

Dbl      Pass    5        5♠

Dbl      Pass    Pass    Pass

 

Quite a wild deal!  All four players had at least one key decision to make in the auction:

-         West’s 3♠:                  This is a hand that we would normally open 4♠ with, except, at this adverse vulnerability, we’d say that 3♠ is enough.

-         North’s 4♠:                 North has too much playing strength to bid 5 directly.

-         East’s 5♣:                   East is prepared to bid to 5♠ but along the way he throws in a lead-director in case Partner is on lead against 6

-         South’s Doubles:        East had a good thought when he introduced Clubs, trying to help Partner, but alas for E-W he also helps N-S … with Clubs on her right, and White vs Red, it now seems clear to defend this one at the 5-level.

-         North’s 5:                 South has expressed a desire to defend with that Double of 5♣, but we would say that 7-card support is worth one more bid here, wouldn’t you?

-         East’s 5♠:                   Perhaps we are influenced by having seen the whole hand, but we are far from convinced that East should bid 5♠ here.  Please see the Bidding Quiz.

 

Who knows what final contracts will be reached on this board?  We do know that if West plays it in Spades he will score just 9 tricks, which in the featured auction will not be a good result, -500 against a non-vulnerable game.

 

How does 5 fare, played by South?  Please see Play Problem # 126.

 

Total Tricks Addendum

In competitive bidding situations Total Tricks analysis is a valuable tool.  As is well-known by now, “The Law” says that the total number of trumps tends to equal the total number of tricks.  On this deal N-S have 12 trumps, E-W have 11, for a total of 23 trumps, and that would suggest 23 total tricks.  But it’s not even close!  E-W can make 9 tricks, and N-S will be struggling to make 11 tricks, for a total of 19 or 20 and a shortfall of at least 3.

 

What went wrong here?  Well, first of all, it would be foolish to claim that The Law was infallible.  Furthermore, the higher the level the less accurate The Law becomes.  Finally, there are certain holdings which diminish the total number of tricks and in this deal there are two such suits:

-         The E-W Heart holding does nothing for their offensive prospects but defensively it’s worth a trick.

-         The N-S Club holding likewise, that KJx is great for defense opposite Partner’s singleton (worth two tricks), but is utterly useless if N-S declare a Spade contract

 

So, let’s not take The Law overly seriously above the 4-level, and let’s remember that certain honor holdings opposite shortness often diminish the number of total tricks.

 

 

 4

♠ QT853

K96

QJ3

♣ 97

 

♠ A76

Q73

A9652

♣ J8

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 4

AJT

T874

♣ T6532

 

Dlr     West
Vul     Both 


 
 
 
 
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♠ KJ92

8542

K

♣ AKQ4

West    North   East     South

Pass    Pass    Pass    1♣

1        1♠        2        2♠

Pass    Pass    3        Pass

Pass    3♠        All Pass

 

N-S were playing Support Doubles, so that 2♠ raise guaranteed 4-card support (with only 3 Spades she would double 2).  Armed with that information, North could be sure of a 9-card fit and was comfortable competing to the 3-level on quite modest values.

 

Against 3, East will no doubt lead a low Diamond to West’s Ace.  The defense can now set the contract with a shift to a low Heart, then later when West gets in with the A♠ he can lead another Heart through, thereby ensuring that the defense scores a Spade, 3 Hearts and a Diamond for down one.  But there’s a small snag here, see what it is?  Yes, East won’t know that West has the A♠ and does not have the K, so after winning the Heart shift with the T he might well persist with Hearts, fearing that Dummy’s Hearts are about go away on Diamonds, or that Declarer’s Hearts will go away on Clubs.  A considerate West will not let his Partner go wrong here … at Trick Two he will shift to the Queen of Hearts!

 

 

 5

♠ J93

AKJT64

A6

♣ 93



Bidding Quiz (West)

Bidding Quiz (North)

♠ T8765

832

KQT52

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 42

Q97

J97

♣ AKJT2

 

Dlr     North
Vul     N-S 


 
 
 
 
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♠ AKQ

5

843

♣ Q87654

West    North   East     South

            1        2♣       Pass

Pass    Dbl      Pass    Pass

Rdbl    2        All Pass

 

North makes a reopening Double (we also wouldn’t argue with 2 here), South makes a Penalty Pass, and West goes into rescue mode with an SOS Redouble.  It turns out that E-W have a safe harbor in 2 (down only one), and North reasonably decides to compete to 2.

 

Nothing to the play in 2, it will be 9 tricks.

 

 

 6

♠ 74

A93

9542

♣ T973




Bidding Quiz (West)

♠ KQJ5

T7

AJ7

♣ AK64

          North

West             East

          South

♠ AT863

J8

T8

♣ J852

 

 Dlr     East
 Vul     E-W 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 92

KQ6542

KQ63

♣ Q

West    North   East     South

                        Pass    1

Dbl      2        2♠        3

4♠        Pass    Pass    Pass

 

Over 3 we would say that 4♠ is a bit of an overbid.  How about 3♠ instead?  That looks to us like an underbid.  Anyone for 3½ Spades?  Please see the Bidding Quiz.

 

4♠ turns out to be a lucky contract indeed.  There are 3 inescapable losers in the red suits and it will all come down to avoiding a Club loser.  A doubleton Club Queen in either of the defender’s hands would seem to be required, but on the actual hand the Club loser is averted in an unexpected way.  Hearts are cashed by the defense, trumps are drawn by Declarer, and then the A♣ fells South’s Queen on the first round of the suit.  The good news for Declarer is that he does not have a 3rd round Club loser, but the bad news is that he has a 4th round loser instead.  No problem!  With the KQ both onside it’s possible to build a second Diamond winner as a place to park that 4th round loser.  Making a rather fortunate 10 tricks.

 

 

 7

♠ T2

AT973

KQ2

♣ Q94




Bidding Quiz (West)

♠ J964

K842

943

♣ A5

          North

West             East

          South

♠ KQ

Q

AT865

♣ KJ632

 

Dlr     South
Vul     Both 


 
 
 
 
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♠ A8753

J65

J7

♣ T87

South   West    North   East 

Pass    Pass    1        2

2        Dbl      Pass    3♣

Pass    3        All Pass 

 

West’s Double was Responsive, in this situation guaranteeing 4 Spades, and the final unexciting contract of 3 produced a routine 9 tricks.

 

 

 8

♠ Q5

AK64

AQT7

♣ AT4

 

♠ KJ7

J92

K852

♣ 853

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 98432

QT73

6

♣ Q72

 

Dlr     West
Vul     None 


 
 
 
 
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♠ AT6

85

J943

♣ KJ96

West    North   East     South

Pass    1        Pass    1NT

Pass    3NT     Pass    Pass

Pass

 

Against 3NT, West will no doubt want to lead a major (the suits North that has denied) and, just to make the play interesting, we’ll force West to lead a Heart which Dummy’s Ace wins.  Declarer would like to delay the Club guess until she has learned more about the hand, but she does not have the entries to her hand to permit that, so she might as well play on Clubs immediately.  Here’s how the play might go:

            Win the Heart lead with the Ace

            Cash A♣

            Club to the Nine

            Run the 9 (not the Jack!)

            Now run the J

            Finish the Diamonds, ending on the board

            A Club back to Declarer’s hand

            Cash the last Club (West pitching a Heart)

Now, in the end-game, if Declarer can read the position correctly, she will cash the K, and lead the Q♠, won by West’s King, and end-playing him in Spades.  Making 12 tricks the hard way!  The easy way would have been if West had been kind enough to lead a Spade at Trick One.

 

 

 9

♠ K963

K932

T94

♣ A6

 

♠ 872

854

AJ6

♣ JT93

          North

West             East

          South

♠ AQJ

AJ76

KQ3

♣ Q85

 

Dlr     North
Vul     E-W 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ T54

QT

8752

♣ K742

West    North   East     South

            Pass    1        Pass

1NT     Pass    3NT     Pass

Pass    Pass

 

Here we have a repeat of the previous auction, this time by E-W, and again the opening leader will be predisposed to lead a major suit, this time presumably a Spade.  Now Declarer knocks out the A♣ and K♣ and winds up with 3 Spades, a Heart, 3 Diamonds, and 2 Clubs for a total of 9 tricks. 

 

 

 10

♠ T86

AJ8

KQ62

♣ AT4



 

Bidding Quiz (South)

♠ AJ73

7653

T

♣ 9532

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 542

QT2

AJ84

♣ Q86

 
Dlr     East
Vul     Both 


 
 
 
 
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♠ KQ9

K94

9753

♣ KJ7

West    North   East     South

                        Pass    Pass

Pass    1        Pass    2NT

Pass    3NT     All Pass

 

That South hand does not look like an opening bid to us, notwithstanding the 12 HCP’s, but even this conservative hand evaluation does not keep N-S out of the rather poor 3NT contract.   West leads a Spade which immediately gives Declarer a much-needed extra trick, but even that may not be enough.  Here’s how the play might develop:

            Spade won by Declarer’s Nine

            A Diamond to the King and East’s Ace

            Spade return, ducked by West

            Diamond to the Queen

            Diamond to East’s Jack

            Spade to West’s Ace

            West cashes 13th Spade (North & West pitch a Diamond, Declarer a Heart)

            Heart to West’s Ten and Declarer’s King

Now, in the end-game East is squeezed in Hearts and Clubs, but that won’t be obvious to Declarer, it will still be possible for her to misguess the Club situation.  So, down one or making three, depending on that guess.  Yes, without a Spade opening lead Declarer would have had no realistic chance for her contract.

 

 

 11

♠ T

94

KQT987

♣ AT95

 

♠ A9873

JT652

A

♣ 74

          North

West             East

          South

♠ KQJ2

8

J653

♣ J862

 
Dlr     South
Vul     None 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 654

AKQ73

42

♣ KQ3

South   West    North   East 

1        1♠        2        3♠

Pass    Pass    4        Pass

Pass    Pass

 

A 2/1 bid in competition shows some values but is generally not played as game-forcing, nor does it promise a rebid.  After East’s preemptive 3♠, North’s 4 was intended as purely competitive.

 

Against 4, East will see no reason to go after a Heart ruff when he has a natural trump trick, so he’ll lead the K♠.  After that wins, he can shift to a Heart but it’s too late … Dummy’s A wins the trick, now a Diamond to West’s Ace and a Heart ruff, but that is the end of the defense.  Making four.  If the defense is to prevail, East must lead a Heart at Trick One, and now it is possible to engineer two Heart ruffs.

 

How would West have done if he had been left to play in 3♠?  This contract also hinges on the opening lead, and we wondered if Dr Goodlead would be up to the challenge.  He was spot on with his answer.  “A Spade lead looks like a stand-out.  I have the minors firmly under control, Partner has opened 1, it looks like Declarer will have to rely on ruffs to get his tricks, so let’s try to nip that in the bud”  Yes, that is the winner!  Without it, Dummy will score 3 Heart ruffs, but the trump opening lead, and another trump when South wins the first round of Hearts, limits Dummy to two ruffs and Declarer to just 8 tricks.

 

 

 12

♠ T74

KQJ4

A742

♣ K7




Bidding Quiz (North)

♠ Q62

A98732

K8

♣ J8

          North

West             East

          South

♠ KJ98

T6

JT63

♣ Q62

 
Dlr     West
Vul     N-S 


 
 
 
 
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♠ A53

5

Q95

♣ AT9543

West    North   East     South

2        Pass    Pass    Dbl

Pass    3NT     Pass    Pass

Pass

 

Do you play Lebensohl over Partner’s Double of a Weak Two?  It’s a useful treatment, and, if you play it, is it also on when that Double is in the balancing seat?  If you play Lebensohl here, are you sure that you and your Partner are on the same wave-length?

 

With or without the Lebensohl issue, North had a basic decision to make in this auction, namely whether to bid the vulnerable game, or whether to try for a penalty of 2.  At any other vulnerability, surely a Penalty Pass is the way to go, but here, with the opponents White and ourselves Red, they only need 5 tricks in 2 Doubled in order to do better than defending our game.  Anyway, this North made her guess and (perhaps optimistically) tried 3NT.

 

A Spade lead puts paid to 3NT, but that looks unlikely.  Let’s say that East dutifully leads a Heart.  Strike One for the defense!  Now, West can save the day by jumping up with the Ace and shifting to a Spade (he really should!), but let’s say that he plays low at Trick One, perhaps reluctant to hand Declarer her 3 Heart tricks.  Strike Two!  So, Declarer wins the first trick and now plays K♣, then A♣, and loses a Club to East’s Queen   Last chance for the defense!  Yet again, a Spade lead is required, and yet again it may not happen.  The Heart situation may not be obvious to East, and furthermore a Spade shift will look extremely dangerous.  We predict that many Easts would continue with a Heart here.  Strike Three!

 

It’s true that East was charged with two of those strikes but, really, it was West who was the culprit here.  He knew that Hearts were hopeless, he also knew from the bidding that Partner had at least 4 Spades, he could shift to Spades safely (unlike Partner), and furthermore a Spade shift might knock out Dummy’s entry before the Clubs were established.

 

 

 13

♠ K75

Q8

QT42

♣ JT75

 

♠ A984

KJ3

A9653

♣ Q

          North

West             East

          South

♠ QT2

9765

K

♣ 86432

 
Dlr     North
Vul     Both 


 
 
 
 
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♠ J63

AT42

J87

♣ AK9

West    North   East     South

            Pass    Pass    1♣

Dbl      1NT     2        Pass

Pass    Pass

 

Here’s a hand where the HCP’s are fairly evenly divided and there are nothing but 4-3 fits on both sides.  On such deals the side that buys the contract usually ends up going minus, and so it is on this hand.  Nobody can make much of anything … 2 is down at least one … and North did very well not to compete to 3♣ because that appears to be down two.

 

 

 14

♠ 95

QJ75

KJT

♣ KT52

 

♠ KJ2

T982

A8654

♣ 6

          North

West             East

          South

♠ Q8764

AK3

32

♣ A97

 

Dlr     East
Vul     None 


 
 
 
 
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♠ AT3

64

Q97

♣ QJ843

West    North   East     South

                        1♠        Pass

2♠        Pass    Pass    Pass

 

 

As 2♠ bids go we’d say that West’s is pretty much top-of-the-line, his hand is not far away from a Forcing No Trump followed by a 3♠ bid.  In the balancing seat, our non-vulnerable South must have hated to pass 2♠, but she really had little option, to bid 3♣ here would have been a wild gamble.  To say nothing of an unsuccessful one if E-W double and find their Diamond ruff for down two.

 

In 2♠, let’s say that South leads the Q♣.  Given a 3-2 trump break, Declarer can count 9 tricks easily enough … 4 Spades, 2 Hearts, A, A♣, and a Club ruff.  Is there a 10th to be found?  Here are some possibilities:

-         A second Club ruff?  No, that would have to be made with a trump honor and would merely promote a trump trick for the defense.

-         Set up the Diamonds?  No, even if the suit breaks 3-3 it won’t be possible to draw trumps and ruff a Club and have an entry to the established Diamonds.

-         How about Hearts?  Yes, it’s possible that the Queen and the Jack are both with North, in which case the double finesse will bring in another trick.

 

However, the Heart finesse must be taken early due to the entry situation which involves a risk … for example, A♣ wins first trick, Club ruff, Heart finesse losing to South’s supposed Queen or Jack, Heart returned, lose the A♠, Heart ruff.  Making just 8 tricks when 9 were always available.  Nonetheless, we would take the risk and try for the 10th trick, for this to be costly would require South to have one of the missing Heart honors, and the suit to be 4-2, and the A♠ to be with the long Hearts and the defense to find the right defense, all in all we’d consider that concatenation of circumstances to be quite a long shot.

 

 

 15

♠ T92

J2

Q65

♣ QT653




Bidding Quiz (South)

♠ J87

Q98543

973

♣ A

          North

West             East

          South

♠ AK64

AT7

K842

♣ 72

 

Dlr     South
Vul     N-S 


 
 
 
 
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♠ Q53

K6

AJT

♣ KJ984

South   West    North   East 

1♣       1        3♣       4

Pass    Pass    Pass

 

With 14 HCP’s, a 5-card suit, and some most useful minor suit fillers, South might well have opened the South hand 1NT, but, either way, we’d expect West to come into the auction with a Heart bid.  Now, North makes a preemptive jump in Clubs, after which East can hardly not bid the Heart game.

 

4 is a pretty poor contract, especially with South known to have the majority of the missing high cards.  A cursory glance at all four hands and we would see a Heart loser, a Spade loser and 3 Diamond losers.  No fewer than 5 total losers!  But, after North starts the defense with a Club lead, the hand is actually cold!  Check out this pretty line of play:

            North leads a Club, won by Declarer’s Ace

            Heart to the Ace

            Club ruff

            Cross to the A♠ and cash the K♠

            Exit with a Spade to South’s Queen

            The K is cashed

At this point, Declarer has established his 9th trick with the 13th Spade, and South is end-played into giving him the 10th.  If she plays a Diamond, the K scores a trick, and if she plays a Club, that will be a Diamond pitch from Declarer’s hand, and a ruff in Dummy.  Just how lucky was this line of play?  Not terribly so, considering the auction.  It requires the A to be with South (almost certain), and the Q♠ to be with South doubleton or tripleton, and the K to be doubleton with South.

 

The defense would have been better served by a more dynamic opening lead.  There was little future in a Club lead, North might have tried a Spade or a Diamond.  Which one?  Your guess is as good as ours.  Dr Goodlead selected the T♠ on the grounds that it was attacking but also relatively safe.  But the winner turns out to be a Diamond, putting paid to the aforementioned end-play.

 

 

 16

♠ J65

K6

T96

♣ QT876

 

♠ AK9

A543

AQ84

♣ A3

          North

West             East

          South

♠ Q74

T872

732

♣ K42

 

Dlr     West
Vul     E-W 


 
 
 
 
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♠ T832

QJ9

KJ5

♣ J95

West    North   East     South

2NT     Pass    3♣       Pass

3        Pass    4        Pass

Pass    Pass

 

Here we revisit a theme from a couple of weeks ago and the question is “Do you bother with Stayman when you have 4-3-3-3 distribution?”  Many players don’t on the grounds that they have no ruffing value in their hand … however, we generally do use Stayman on the grounds that Partner may well have a ruffing value.  So, we are delighted to report that the winning call for East here is 3♣, finding the 4-4 Heart fit and scoring +620 compared with just +600 for those in 3NT.

 

 

 17

♠ 84

T5

J76

♣ J98432



Bidding Quiz (North)
Play Problem # 127 (West)

♠ AJ972

A2

QT8

♣ KQT

          North

West             East

          South

♠ QT6

8764

9542

♣ A5


Dlr     North   
Vul     None 


 
 
 
 
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♠ K53

KQJ93

AK3

♣ 76

West    North   East     South

            Pass    Pass    1NT

Dbl      Pass    Pass    Rdbl

Pass    2♣       Pass    Pass

2♠        Pass    Pass    Pass

 

That 1NT opening with a good 5-card major may not be to everybody’s taste, but we certainly have no problem with it.  What are your methods after they double your 1NT opening?  One common approach is to play “systems on”, in other words the same system as would be played without the Double.  This works well much of the time, but would not be a great success on this board.  North wants to escape to Clubs, but playing just Stayman and Transfers makes this impossible at the two-level, N-S must get out in 3♣, a contract which could be down two tricks, probably doubled.

 

Some partnerships employ exotic run-out systems, utilizing the Redouble by either partner to increase their escape options.  The featured pair used Opener’s Redouble as their vehicle for getting out in 2♣ (please see the Bidding Quiz for more on this), after which West competed to 2♠ and played it there.

 

In 2♠, with the trump finesse working, Declarer has 9 easy tricks.  A 10th is possible if he can score a trick with the Q, but there’s a shortage of Dummy entries so he’ll need some help from the defense.  If you’d like to test your Declarer skills, please see Play Problem # 127.  The defense will lead a Diamond to South’s King, shift to the K, and you will be challenged to make 10 tricks.

 

 

 18

♠ AJT72

2

876

♣ AKT9

 

♠ K93

T84

K953

♣ 873

          North

West             East

          South

♠ Q865

AQ73

42

♣ J54

 

Dlr       East
Vul      N-S 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 4

KJ965

AQJT

♣ Q62

West    North   East     South

                        Pass    1

Pass    1♠        Pass    2

Pass    3NT     All Pass

 

Against 3NT, East might well try a lead through Dummy’s second suit, nothing else looks especially appealing.  Declarer finesses the Queen and West does well to duck smoothly, there’s no rush to take that King, and by ducking he may induce Declarer to waste an entry back to hand to repeat the finesse.  Declarer does indeed return to hand with a Club and repeat the Diamond finesse, but this time it loses.  West passively returns a Diamond, the 4th Diamond is cashed, then the Clubs.  At this point Declarer has scored 7 tricks with the A♠ still to come.  She leads a Heart towards the board and now the defense must concede a 9th trick to Declarer in either Spades or Hearts.

 

 

 19

♠ JT76

973

AT3

♣ A87

 

♠ 842

KQ85

95

♣ QT54

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 93

AT2

KJ742

♣ K93

 

Dlr     South
Vul     E-W 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ AKQ5

J64

Q86

♣ J62

South   West    North   East 

1♣       Pass    1♠        Pass

2♠        Pass    Pass    Pass

 

 

South might well have opened her magnificent 4-card Spade suit instead of her feeble Clubs, but, either way, it looks as if N-S are destined to go down in a Spade partial.  Declarer can score 4 Spades and the minor suit Aces for 6 tricks, and has a Diamond guess for the 7th trick … she can finesse the Ten or lead towards the Queen, one of those plays works, the other one doesn’t.  But who said that guesswork is required?  Declarer can make the 7th trick a certainty by drawing trumps, cashing the A♣ and exiting with a Club (or Heart).  When the defenders have cashed all their Clubs and Hearts they must either concede a ruff and sluff, or else break open the Diamond suit themselves.

 

 

 20

♠ AKJ

93

A98643

♣ 87



 

Bidding Quiz (South)

♠ 9765

QT7

J52

♣ JT9

          North

West             East

          South

♠ QT8432

K82

T

♣ 653

 
Dlr     West
Vul     Both 


 
 
 
 
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AJ654

KQ7

♣ AKQ42

West    North   East     South

Pass    1        Pass    1

Pass    2        Pass    4♠

Pass    5♣       Pass    7

Pass    Pass    Pass

 

Here’s a Valentine’s Day present for lovers of that obscure convention known as Exclusion Key Card Blackwood.  Yes, South’s prodigious leap to 4♠ can hardly be natural, nor is it needed as a splinter (3♠ is available for that).  In the featured auction it was used as Roman Key Card, but with a twist … Partner is requested to exclude the A♠ (if she indeed holds that card) from the response, so the bid of 5♣ showed one Key Card (another twist is that it is customary not to play 1430 in this situation).

 

Don’t let’s be fooled by the fact that 7NT makes, as that contract requires Clubs to be 3-3.  No, 7 is certainly the correct contract.  The best that the defense can do is to lead a Heart, unsportingly knocking out that precious entry from the board.  Now Declarer needs trumps 2-2, or else trumps 3-1 with Clubs 3-3, a combined 62% chance.  Without that entry-destroying opening Heart lead the grand slam needs 2-2 trumps, or else 3-1 trumps with Clubs no worse than 4-2, improving the the chances to 82%.

 

 

 21

♠ QJ52

QJ43

AT7

♣ 83


 

Bidding Quiz (East)

Bidding Quiz (North)

♠ T3

KT6

Q82

♣ AQ975

          North

West             East

          South

♠ A974

A982

4

♣ KT64

 

Dlr     North
Vul     N-S 


 
 
 
 
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♠ K86

75

KJ9653

♣ J2

West    North   East     South

            Pass    1♣       1

2        Dbl      3♣       Pass

Pass    Pass

 

Would you open the East hand?  It scores just 19 on the Rule of Twenty scale, but we say “Phooey!” to that … two Aces and a King and a singleton … that sure looks like an opening bid to us.

 

After 2, North had various ways to support Diamonds, see the Bidding Quiz.  As it was, N-S wisely sold out to 3♣.  That contract will make 11 tricks if the defense neglects to attack Spades in time and if Declarer also manages to divine the Heart situation (thereby getting a Spade pitch).  But we’d expect 10 tricks at most tables.  And if N-S compete on to 3 they wil have to guess the trumps well to avoid the dreaded down two and -200.

 

 22

♠ AKQ83

976

♣ AQ975




Bidding Quiz (North)

♠ J9

KQJ942

5

♣ KJT2

          North

West             East

          South

♠ T54

A876

AKQ2

♣ 84

 

Dlr     East
Vul     E-W 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 762

T53

JT843

♣ 63

West    North   East     South

                        1        Pass

1        1♠        2        Pass

4        Pass    Pass    Pass

 

After 1, North had three or four ways to get her two-suiter into the auction, as discussed in the Bidding Quiz.  We like the actual choice of 1♠ but that did nothing to stop E-W zipping into 4.  Hearts are supposed to flourish on Valentine’s Day but our computer is obviously not a romantic soul, he or she placed the Q♣ offside, and it is down one.

 

 

 23

♠ AT86

A764

A8

♣ 752




Bidding Quiz (South)

♠ J9

Q

QJT43

♣ AJT83

          North

West             East

          South

♠ Q43

KJT5

K76

♣ K94

 

Dlr     South
Vul     Both 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ K752

9832

952

♣ Q6

South   West    North   East 

Pass    1        Dbl      Rdbl

Pass    2♣       Pass    2NT

Pass    3♣       Pass    3

Pass    Pass    Pass

 

What does South’s Pass of that Redouble mean?  No, definitely not a desire to play in 1 redoubled, it simply means that South has no preference and will leave it up to North to pick the suit.  With, for example, 3-4 in the majors, she would bid the 4-card major immediately.  Anyway, East invites with 3NT, and West ends up declaring a 3 contract, and it’s hard to imagine Declarer making anything other than 9 tricks for +110.  Yes, 2NT scores 8 tricks and +120 but nobody would fault West for preferring 3 of a minor with that minimum 5-5 hand.

 

 24

♠ KT93

5

K876

♣ Q953

 

♠ AQ

AQJ7

954

♣ AKJ2

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 862

T3

QJ32

♣ T864

 

Dlr     West
Vul     None 


 
 
 
 
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♠ J754

K98642

AT

♣ 7

West    North   East     South

2NT     Pass    Pass    Pass

 

 

 

Against 2NT it seems normal enough for North to lead a Spade, no doubt the Ten (or the Nine if N-S play Coded Nines and Tens) and now with some good guessing Declarer can scrounge up 8 tricks.  He wins the opening lead, leads a Diamond to the Queen and South’s Ace, wins the Spade return, and loses a Diamond to North’s King.  The defenders cash their two Spade winners, and this is where the guessing comes in.  If Declarer guesses to pitch Clubs and take the Heart finesse he makes 8 tricks … if he guesses to pitch Hearts and take the Club finesse he makes 7 tricks.  There are no concrete clues from the bidding or the play so Declarer should make the guess which has the least downside, and that is to pitch the Clubs, after which the worst case is down one.  But, if he pitches Hearts, then South wins the 4th round of Spades and sends a Heart through, an offside K and Q♣ would result in down two (or even three).

 

An opening lead of a Club will also allow Declarer to make 8 tricks, and the way to beat the contract is a Diamond lead or a bizarre Heart lead.

 

 

 25

♠ 6

Q5

KJT8432

♣ 874




Bidding Quiz (West)

♠ AKJ5

9864

Q

♣ AKQ3

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 874

AJ73

9765

♣ 62

 

Dlr     North
Vul     E-W 


 
 
 
 
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♠ QT932

KT2

A

♣ JT96

West    North   East     South

            3        Pass    Pass

Dbl      Pass    3        Pass

4        Pass    Pass    Pass

 

West didn’t have to bid 4 but we know that we would be unable to resist!  The resulting contract is so-so at best, and it’s headed for down one.  Declarer can be sure of a Diamond loser and (as it happens) two Heart losers.  That’s only 3 total losers but, alas, there is just no way to come to 10 tricks.  It’s North’s singleton Spade that does in Declarer, one way or the other.

 

 

 26

♠ 7

KJ7532

QT53

♣ 62

 

♠ KT

64

AK62

♣ T9753

          North

West             East

          South

♠ QJ83

98

J74

♣ AKJ4

 

Dlr     East
Vul     Both 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ A96542

AQT

98

♣ Q8

West    North   East     South

                        1♣       1♠

2♠        Pass    3♣       Pass

Pass    Pass

 

 

It’s true that N-S can take 9 tricks playing in Hearts, but it’s hard to see how a vulnerable North can get the suit into the auction.  However, if N-S had been non-vulnerable, who would blame North for balancing over 3♣ with 3?  Not us!

 

As it was, South found herself on opening lead against 3♣.  Not a particularly appetizing set of choices, is it?  It takes the lead of the A♠, then a Spade ruff, then the cashing of two Hearts to beat this.  That’s 4 tricks for the defense, and the coup de grace is applied when the third round of Spades is led … this doesn’t immediately get a 5th trick for the defense (because Dummy can ruff high), but it does neutralize one of Declarer’s Spade winners, so that, in the fullness of time, the defense will come to a Diamond trick.

 

That’s all very well, but is it realistic to expect South to find that A♠ opening lead?  We gave this one to Dr Goodlead and he maintained his recent good form by saying “Certainly not a trump, nor a Heart … no reason to lead a Diamond … what else but the A♠, hoping that my non-supporting Partner is short in the suit.  It’s one of those relatively rare situations where leading an unsupported Ace against a suit contract looks right”.  Yes, indeed, Doctor!

 

 

 27

♠ KT643

J2

K86

♣ J74

 

♠ AQJ9

KT6

Q95

♣ A53

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 852

A5

J74

♣ KT862

 

Dlr     South
Vul     None 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 7

Q98743

AT32

♣ Q9

South   West    North   East 

2        2NT     Pass    3NT

Pass    Pass    Pass

 

 

Over 2, we wouldn’t argue with a Double, but that square shape and point count are quite persuasive, we like 2NT here.  After all, if we have a 4-4 Spade fit, there is nothing preventing Partner from seeking it via Stayman.

 

We’ve had a whole bunch of rotten contracts this week, some of which have been salvaged thanks to rotten (or at least unsuccessful) opening leads.  North’s rotten lead on this hand is the J, immediately handing Declarer 3 Heart tricks, and, furthermore, giving Declarer the tempo required to set up the Clubs for 8 tricks, and to get his 9th in Spades or Diamonds, depending on which tack is taken by the defense.  Dr Goodlead also led the J, by the way, and if he can get it wrong what chance do we mere mortals have?

 

 

 28

♠ 43

T94

J8753

♣ T74

 

♠ AKQJT6

875

K9

♣ A2

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 876

J3

QT42

♣ Q953

 
Dlr     West
Vul     N-S 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 92

AKQ62

A6

♣ KJ86

West    North   East     South

1♠        Pass    1NT     Pass

3♠        Pass    Pass    Pass

 

 

Not much to the auction, but how about the play of the hand?  It’s easy enough to see that Declarer has 3 red suit losers, and the question of the day is whether he can somehow get that Club loser away on a Diamond.  The theoretical answer is “Yes!”, but the practical answer is “No!”.  We’d expect the opening lead of the T won by South, a trump shift, another Heart, and another trump.  Now Declarer has secured his contract but doesn’t have the entries to play for the overtrick without also putting his contract back in jeopardy.  So, surely, 9 tricks at almost all tables.

 

 

 29

♠ KJ9

T972

AKQ7

♣ QJ

 

♠ AQT8

K653

9

♣ AKT3

          North

West             East

          South

♠ 7532

AQ8

T82

♣ 985

 
 
Dlr     North
 Vul     Both 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 64

J4

J6543

♣ 7642

West    North   East     South

            1NT     Pass    Pass

2        Pass    2♠        Pass

Pass    Pass

 

This hand is a good commercial for DONT or Cappelletti or any of those other conventions which allow us to get a major two-suiter into the auction after the opponents open 1NT.  Well, calling that West hand a “major two-suiter” may be something of a stretch, but surely it’s a reasonable gamble to treat it as such.  Defending 1NT (doubled or otherwise) would not be our first choice here, even though the opponents are vulnerable.

 

2♠ turns out to make 10 tricks, thanks to the terrifically obliging Club suit.  How about 1NT by North?  We’d expect East to start with a Spade to West’s Ace, then AK♣ and a low Club to East’s Ten, and now, if East guesses (it may not be obvious) to play A, Q, and out a Heart, the defense will come to 8 tricks and Declarer will have acquired another one of those highly dreaded -200 results.

 

Did someone say a “good commercial” for two-suited conventions?  Maybe not!

 

Is there anything that West might do that would make it easier for East to find the dangerous-looking Heart shift (after the Spade to the Ace, and three rounds of Clubs)?  Actually, yes!  Regardless of whether your opening leads (against suits) are A from AK or K from AK, it’s customary to lead K from AK in the middle of the hand (the “middle of the hand” starts at Trick Two!).  If that is the case, then West can send a message to Partner.  He wins the A♠, and plays the A♣, K♣, and out a Club … playing those Club honors out of sequence says “I have something in Hearts”.  It’s not a command for a Heart shift, merely some information for Partner to digest.  And, if West should choose to play K♣, A♣, and out a Club?  Does this say “I have something in Diamonds?”  No, this is the normal play and the message is neutral, it merely says “I have no reason to advertise Heart strength, I may or may not have Diamond strength”.

 

 

 30

♠ Q872

AK97

J72

♣ T2




Bidding Quiz (North)

♠ 95

86

KT8654

♣ 764

          North

West             East

          South

♠ AKJT6

JT4

3

♣ AQ95

 

Dlr     East
Vul     None 

 


 
 
 
 
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♠ 43

Q532

AQ9

♣ KJ83

West    North   East     South

                        1♠        Dbl

Pass    3        Pass    Pass

Pass

 

North has 10 HCP’s and a 4-card major opposite a doubling Partner, that’s usually enough for a jump bid, inviting game if Partner has a little bit to spare.  Having said that, we seriously question North’s 3 bid, as we discuss in the Bidding Quiz.

 

OK, let’s assume that North plays in some number of Hearts (hopefully for N-S it is only two of them).  East leads the A♠, then the K♠, then a third Spade.  If Declarer is laboring in 3, this leaves her without resource.  She can ruff low, or ruff high, or not ruff at all, but, whatever she does, the defense will come to 5 tricks.

 

 

 31

♠ J96

K9

AKJT5

♣ 986

 

♠ KT853

T8

Q96

♣ AJT

          North

West             East

          South

♠ A

AJ7542

872

♣ KQ3

 

Dlr     South
Vul     N-S 


 
 
 
 
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♠ Q742

Q63

43

♣ 7542

South   West    North   East 

Pass    Pass    1        1

Pass    1♠        Pass    2

Pass    Pass    Pass

 

With East playing 2, it’s not hard to figure out the first three tricks to this one, the defense takes three quick Diamonds.  What’s harder to figure out is how East will play the trump suit.  If East has memorized the Dictionary of Suit Combinations (only 2,000 of them!) he will lose two trump tricks by playing low towards the T8 on the board.  On this particular hand it turns out that a lot of knowledge is a dangerous thing, because the way to pick up the actual trump suit (for one loser) is low from the board.  Oh, well!

 

 

 32

♠ 96

A987

K832

♣ 865

 

♠ K842

32

Q6

♣ 97432

          North

West             East

          South

♠ A73

KQT4

A97

♣ AKQ

 

Dlr     West
Vul     E-W 


 
 
 
 
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♠ QJT5

J65

JT54

♣ JT

West    North   East     South

Pass    Pass    2♣       Pass

2        Pass    2NT     Pass

3♣       Pass    3        Pass

3NT     Pass    Pass    Pass

       

East’s sequence showed a balanced hand with 22-23 or 22-24 or some other such range (take your pick), and then E-W alighted in 3NT after a Stayman auction.  This contract has 9 tricks written all over it, though you may wish to amuse yourself proving that 10 tricks are possible on any lead and defense.  Yes, it really is, apparently, Deep Finesse says so.

                                                 

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